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Discouraging Statistics
By Antonis Loizou, FRICS 8 November 2009
YEAR 2008
YEAR 2009
FOREIGN SALES (2009)
If we are to examine Nicosia demand from locals, its interest is reduced almost by 50%, but it is interesting to note that during this year (2009) there is an upward movement. Surely demand for the foreign market is improving. This pattern appears to repeat itself in most districts and this is a trend which we expect to continue. The lowering interest rates, the reduction of prices (around 20% overall) the increasing confidence in the market/economcy and the signs of a global revival are some of the factors which have helped demand. The pending deposit of €3 bil. by the Government to the Banks, will also help lower interest rates further and this will help the market by even more. Of course the recovery at the 2007-2008 sales levels, is very long and it is debatable if we will experience in the near future such high sales rates. The property boom which was worldwide is not expected to come back earlier than 10 years and this might be a good thing in some respects. The market needs to cool off, prices to rise, but at a logical rate and prices to move in accord to the people’s income increases. Cyprus has, we hope, other positive circumstances which might help the market revival and these include the various infrastructural projects under way, the pending golf and marina developments, hopefully the improvement of the title issue etc etc. We will say that as an estimate, we will note some noticeable market revival after mid 2010 and we might even experience increase in prices for good properties, as new developments are limited, sale opportunities are reduced and choiced projects become less and less. Lets keep our fingers crossed since the recession of the property market is not helping everybody. Prices may go down, but then we have to consider the various (now) unsecured loans, demanding Banks, developers/buyers with liquidity problems etc etc. Let us hope that the worst is behind us. |
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